PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

xset

0x431d3716d446083f3df0862a3c6e418abaca8fde

Realised P&L
$5.2k
Volume
$263.5k
Markets traded
140
Open portfolio
$12.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded140
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9030.915$5.9k+$75.80
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9380.935$4.4k$13.48
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.7890.925$1.7k+$247.52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? · No0.9620.972$607.19+$5.94
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs · 9z0.2700.000$0.00$46.57
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$29.10
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$152.77
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 · BetBoom Team0.2000.000$0.00$45.00
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs · Spirit0.1760.000$0.00$132.42
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$26.40
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs · BetBoom Team0.3100.000$0.00$38.75
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A · FaZe0.1070.000$0.00$18.20
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs · BetBoom Team0.4500.000$0.00$51.75
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 · Lynn Vision0.3700.000$0.00$11.00
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 · BetBoom Team0.2750.000$0.00$42.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 12:16Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.29$16.33
08-02 11:50Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.5899999951$35.00
08-01 10:13Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.819999999$100.00
07-31 19:13Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.7142857143$75.00
07-23 15:12Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierBUY0.93$186.00
07-23 15:05Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?BUY0.57945$81.12
07-19 18:34Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$674.19
07-19 18:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?BUY0.849$378.13
07-19 18:29Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.59$59.00
07-11 16:08Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.64$15.00
07-11 16:08Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.64$70.78
06-21 17:42Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBUY0.088999996$20.00
06-21 17:16Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBUY0.1699999991$140.00
06-21 17:15Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSELL0.8311135238$436.33
06-21 07:24Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?SELL0.996$917.92