xset
0x431d3716d446083f3df0862a3c6e418abaca8fde
- Realised P&L
- $4.9k
- Volume
- $312.0k
- Markets traded
- 218
- Open portfolio
- $15.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded218
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.743Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?
- +$990.37at 0.882Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
- +$737.37at 0.918Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$720.19at 0.873Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?
- +$694.34at 0.837Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 19:27 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.3099999973 | $25.00 |
| 10-05 19:20 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.4 | $54.00 |
| 10-05 16:12 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.37 | $38.85 |
| 10-05 13:45 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.64 | $73.60 |
| 10-04 09:27 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.6 | $51.00 |
| 10-03 13:51 | Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | BUY | 0.24 | $7.20 |
| 10-02 10:24 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | BUY | 0.55 | $49.50 |
| 10-01 16:47 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 09-28 19:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | SELL | 0.995 | $348.25 |
| 09-26 10:08 | Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs | BUY | 0.47 | $35.25 |
| 09-23 18:41 | Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | BUY | 0.63 | $40.95 |
| 09-22 09:20 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $26.97 |
| 09-20 19:54 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 09-20 16:53 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.67 | $50.25 |
| 09-20 15:50 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.88 | $224.40 |