PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

evalso

0x4222e7062f044dcad6ae68a050e3434efa47aa99

Realised P&L
$-197.53
Volume
$21.1k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$165.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.1100.040$72.55−$127.54
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.022$34.51−$165.56
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1040.017$15.89−$84.10
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1480.045$15.18−$34.76
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · Yes0.1130.033$14.41−$35.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0350.005$5.00−$30.00
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1700.105$3.09−$1.91
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0930.020$2.16−$7.94
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0600.018$1.46−$3.54
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 · Mayweather0.6300.500$0.79−$0.21
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$5.00
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1940.000$0.00−$10.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 15:18Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.25$23.00
07-13 15:15Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.0255612832$27.00
07-03 20:28Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.1$98.50
07-03 09:15Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$100.08
06-30 14:35Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.194$10.09
06-30 14:32Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?SELL0.07$1.87
06-30 14:29Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?BUY0.21$2.94
06-30 14:29Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.12$2.52
06-30 14:17Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$10.35
06-30 14:17Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$30.00
06-27 15:30Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$42.00
06-27 15:24Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.12$1.97
05-25 18:48Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.09$9.00
05-25 18:46Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$8.10
05-25 18:39Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.13$29.90