ew.2
0x418486141e02b05ed1a669be9252f74c26dac863
- Realised P&L
- $241.52
- Volume
- $423.6k
- Markets traded
- 5,488
- Open portfolio
- $164.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,488
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$220.21at 0.207Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?
- +$166.99at 0.449Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 13?
- +$107.92at 0.376Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 13?
- +$37.10at 0.095Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 2?
- +$36.99at 0.665Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.70 |
| 10-04 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.12 |
| 10-04 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.3650505051 | $7.23 |
| 10-04 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.41714 | $4.17 |
| 10-04 03:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-10 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 10? | SELL | 0.5869090909 | $6.46 |
| 09-10 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on September 10? | SELL | 0.55 | $3.58 |
| 09-10 10:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.76 | $11.40 |
| 09-10 10:45 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.4490680628 | $8.58 |
| 09-10 10:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.46 | $3.77 |
| 09-10 10:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 09-10 10:45 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.4914683544 | $7.77 |
| 09-10 10:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.738515528 | $11.89 |
| 09-10 10:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.62 | $7.81 |
| 09-10 09:45 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.65 |