PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

welder

0x413f234ecb0349df61c90088c5bef78b42162a15

Realised P&L
$549.08
Volume
$265.5k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$428.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 16:10Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?BUY0.029$1.75
09-14 12:51Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.19$19.00
09-10 22:56Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.199$9.95
09-09 16:52Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?BUY0.1$0.90
08-16 18:11Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.007$7.00
08-05 20:40Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2498133$99.93
07-19 21:20Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2975$110.07
07-08 18:15GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?SELL0.996$29.88
07-03 12:56Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?BUY0.001$1.00
07-01 10:36Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?BUY0.014$1.90
06-28 12:16Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?BUY0.17$6.80
06-27 18:35GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?SELL0.98$156.13
06-14 20:55GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?BUY0.025$1.00
06-09 22:08Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.08$0.80
06-09 21:59Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.01$1.00