PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nutildah

0x413d1ff09fa67c08d9bf295ea4804a26cc02d704

Realised P&L
$-6.2k
Volume
$1.00M
Markets traded
22,127
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded22,127
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? · No0.4670.705$531.01+$179.56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.9100.994$257.20+$21.73
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.9200.915$91.50−$0.50
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.7500.855$85.50+$10.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.835$83.50−$1.50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.735$73.50−$5.50
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.9000.915$30.50+$0.50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9000.915$30.50+$0.50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5100.125$7.35−$22.65
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? · No0.8300.875$5.15+$0.26
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 241.5 · Over0.5300.981$4.74+$2.18
Panthers vs. Senators · Senators0.5000.915$4.61+$2.09
Spread: Pacers (-5.5) · Pelicans0.5500.855$4.01+$1.43
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 221.5 · Over0.2800.415$3.73+$1.22
Spread: Heat (-3.5) · Timberwolves0.6300.910$3.70+$1.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 01:25Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5BUY0.5199999406$2.45
10-22 01:25Flyers vs. SabresBUY0.3599999765$2.45
10-22 01:25Spread: Bucks (-1.5)BUY0.119999998$2.45
10-22 01:24Will Club Puebla win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.9199999849$2.44
10-22 01:24SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5SELL0.73$2.45
10-22 01:24Spread: Wizards (-8.5)SELL0.58$1.90
10-22 01:23SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.1299999989$2.45
10-22 01:23SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.7799999491$2.45
10-22 01:22Spread: Sam Houston (-2.5)BUY0.5199999406$2.45
10-22 01:22Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 251.5SELL0.33$1.77
10-22 01:22Spread: Rockets (-11.5)SELL0.36$1.74
10-22 01:22Spread: Wizards (-2.5)SELL0.05$0.19
10-22 01:21Spread: Rockets (-9.5)BUY0.6799999226$2.46
10-22 01:21Atlas FC vs. CF América: O/U 2.5BUY0.5499999889$2.48
10-22 01:19Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5BUY0.6199999104$2.49