PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ike123fi

0x40a5df66a6f0b3d13c14fa67cc9c59fe07213b8c

Realised P&L
$-232.75
Volume
$12.4k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$101.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.3800.605$31.84+$11.84
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2670.156$20.20$14.32
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1710.081$18.84$21.15
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4690.605$12.90+$2.90
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3900.415$10.64+$0.64
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2200.105$2.39$2.61
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2200.065$2.07$4.93
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? · Yes0.1100.028$1.27$3.73
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.045$1.15$1.65
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$5.00
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$20.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$3.00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · Yes0.1750.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump Insult Xi this week? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 21:35Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.109999967$2.80
07-03 21:34Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0321918295$2.17
05-14 21:18Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.4449999714$8.00
05-13 20:04Will Trump Insult Xi this week?BUY0.0358967258$3.00
05-13 20:02Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.0876014567$5.00
05-13 20:01Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
05-12 18:18Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0739999869$5.00
05-12 18:17Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.389999986$10.00
05-12 18:15Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.011999994$2.00
05-12 15:21Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0129999958$3.00
05-07 19:10US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?BUY0.1949999525$3.00
05-03 20:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.001$0.04
05-03 17:26Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.05$2.50
05-03 17:22Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.3379999646$5.00
05-03 17:22Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2649999685$5.00