ike123fi
0x40a5df66a6f0b3d13c14fa67cc9c59fe07213b8c
- Realised P&L
- $-232.75
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $101.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.18at 0.166Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- +$37.90at 0.380Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$31.26at 0.230Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$29.24at 0.180Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
- +$27.38at 0.190Women's Final - USA vs. Canada
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 21:35 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.109999967 | $2.80 |
| 07-03 21:34 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0321918295 | $2.17 |
| 05-14 21:18 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.4449999714 | $8.00 |
| 05-13 20:04 | Will Trump Insult Xi this week? | BUY | 0.0358967258 | $3.00 |
| 05-13 20:02 | Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.0876014567 | $5.00 |
| 05-13 20:01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 18:18 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0739999869 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 18:17 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 18:15 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.011999994 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 15:21 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0129999958 | $3.00 |
| 05-07 19:10 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1949999525 | $3.00 |
| 05-03 20:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 05-03 17:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 05-03 17:22 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.3379999646 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 17:22 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2649999685 | $5.00 |