TC2
0x4038b1574b84aa444c20f52643f803bf3ba8ca66
- Realised P&L
- $-213.42
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$231.31at 0.380Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?
- +$27.94at 0.843Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?
- +$27.79at 0.477United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$21.79at 0.895Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
- +$19.91at 0.800Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 22:36 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 17:24 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.00 |
| 10-29 09:52 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.93 | $280.00 |
| 10-29 09:51 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 11:03 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.8999999928 | $100.00 |
| 10-25 11:01 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 10-25 11:00 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $94.03 |
| 10-22 21:33 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-22 20:48 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 23:10 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999973 | $20.64 |
| 10-05 12:23 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9349999925 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 12:21 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9349999766 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 20:46 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.131 | $25.12 |
| 09-23 21:27 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 11:22 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.7929999973 | $15.00 |