PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TC2

0x4038b1574b84aa444c20f52643f803bf3ba8ca66

Realised P&L
$-213.42
Volume
$13.0k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9000.945$713.69+$33.69
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.8930.925$403.84+$13.84
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No0.9030.845$374.32−$25.67
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? · No0.8840.972$307.98+$27.98
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9300.945$284.52+$4.52
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? · No0.9390.945$241.45+$1.45
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7980.817$127.96+$2.96
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · No0.9400.968$82.34+$2.34
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.9300.960$72.26+$2.26
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes0.3900.370$47.44−$2.56
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9080.945$37.08+$1.44
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · No0.9300.925$29.84−$0.16
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1330.125$23.03−$1.47
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.978$10.72+$0.85
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6800.715$10.51+$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 22:36Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-31 17:24Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.81$3.00
10-29 09:52Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.93$280.00
10-29 09:51Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6799999946$10.00
10-25 11:03Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.8999999928$100.00
10-25 11:01Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.9$100.00
10-25 11:00Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.63$94.03
10-22 21:33Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6699999993$100.00
10-22 20:48Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-09 23:10Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.9299999973$20.64
10-05 12:23Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9349999925$5.00
10-05 12:21Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9349999766$2.00
10-01 20:46Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.131$25.12
09-23 21:27Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.9199999963$10.00
09-21 11:22Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.7929999973$15.00