Masonclarke.mj
0x4037e7608894640c0acb13ef063261df94cffa24
- Realised P&L
- $-101.31
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 251
- Open portfolio
- $111.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded251
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$196.40at 0.349Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
- +$75.42at 0.625Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
- +$32.00at 0.251Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$29.19at 0.026Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$22.64at 0.206Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 21:47 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.991 | $15.97 |
| 09-13 06:05 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.04 |
| 09-11 06:05 | Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $6.61 |
| 09-04 06:06 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $6.22 |
| 09-04 06:06 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $6.29 |
| 09-04 03:32 | Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.14 |
| 09-03 06:30 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.99 | $8.82 |
| 08-20 12:06 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.75 |
| 08-20 00:07 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $6.78 |
| 08-19 00:06 | Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $7.27 |
| 08-17 16:55 | Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.64 |
| 08-11 18:05 | Will there be at least 2600 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.48 |
| 08-08 00:04 | Will SpaceX have fewer than 13 launches in August 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.85 |
| 08-07 15:26 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.9906245121 | $12.69 |
| 08-06 06:04 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $7.43 |