PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xrc

0x40047c2a7f97b6849ec2a665425c171dc4b6c40b

Realised P&L
$29.4k
Volume
$2.10M
Markets traded
393
Open portfolio
$435.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded393
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9470.980$171.8k+$5.7k
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8730.960$118.2k+$10.6k
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9200.983$83.4k+$5.3k
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8240.905$15.8k+$1.4k
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? · Yes0.8260.900$6.2k+$511.79
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8550.968$4.9k+$574.98
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.6660.845$2.6k+$559.88
Trump meets with Putin by November 30? · Yes0.7950.825$2.3k+$80.67
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.8700.945$2.2k+$174.61
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? · No0.9240.978$2.1k+$116.53
US x China Military clash before 2027? · No0.9230.974$2.0k+$102.50
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? · No0.9450.944$1.8k−$2.19
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? · No0.7780.907$1.8k+$257.22
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.8470.855$1.8k+$17.74
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7740.914$1.7k+$262.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:31Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.979983545$6.4k
11-01 22:30Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.9778892372$7.5k
11-01 02:29Thunder vs. RocketsBUY0.999$8.8k
11-01 02:28Thunder vs. RocketsBUY0.998$1.7k
11-01 02:26Thunder vs. RocketsBUY0.9978055006$4.9k
11-01 02:09Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.98$1.3k
10-30 04:52Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?BUY0.88$733.04
10-29 02:10Rockets vs. BucksBUY0.998$3.0k
10-29 02:10Rockets vs. BucksBUY0.998$40.17
10-29 01:52Rockets vs. BucksBUY0.998$2.4k
10-29 01:52Rockets vs. BucksBUY0.997$1.5k
10-29 01:46Rockets vs. BucksBUY0.99$306.90
10-29 01:46Rockets vs. BucksBUY0.9899674389$4.2k
10-29 01:46Rockets vs. BucksBUY0.9871653969$120.50
10-29 01:42Rockets vs. BucksBUY0.982$26.14