0xrc
0x40047c2a7f97b6849ec2a665425c171dc4b6c40b
- Realised P&L
- $29.4k
- Volume
- $2.10M
- Markets traded
- 393
- Open portfolio
- $435.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded393
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.5kat 0.887Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
- +$1.7kat 0.947NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers
- +$1.7kat 0.959Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.4kat 0.930Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.967Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:31 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.979983545 | $6.4k |
| 11-01 22:30 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9778892372 | $7.5k |
| 11-01 02:29 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.999 | $8.8k |
| 11-01 02:28 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.998 | $1.7k |
| 11-01 02:26 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.9978055006 | $4.9k |
| 11-01 02:09 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.3k |
| 10-30 04:52 | Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $733.04 |
| 10-29 02:10 | Rockets vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.998 | $3.0k |
| 10-29 02:10 | Rockets vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.998 | $40.17 |
| 10-29 01:52 | Rockets vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.998 | $2.4k |
| 10-29 01:52 | Rockets vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.997 | $1.5k |
| 10-29 01:46 | Rockets vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.99 | $306.90 |
| 10-29 01:46 | Rockets vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.9899674389 | $4.2k |
| 10-29 01:46 | Rockets vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.9871653969 | $120.50 |
| 10-29 01:42 | Rockets vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.982 | $26.14 |