PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3fd0190eb137e335db080b9855f90c86849f0022

0x3fd0190eb137e335db080b9855f90c86849f0022

Realised P&L
$-24.3k
Volume
$2.52M
Markets traded
219
Open portfolio
$62.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded219
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.9180.954$12.2k+$459.61
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · Yes0.9350.999$10.2k+$646.36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.9650.993$9.2k+$256.39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.9000.965$7.8k+$527.45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.9860.993$5.2k+$34.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? · No0.9600.998$4.3k+$160.64
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · No0.9580.995$3.8k+$139.82
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? · No0.9820.992$3.7k+$35.93
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.365$2.5k+$1.0k
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1970.067$2.0k−$4.0k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2000.165$764.94−$162.26
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · Yes0.2100.235$297.47+$31.65
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3840.510$186.46+$46.20
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2670.152$81.10−$60.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 16:00Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?BUY0.982$579.38
09-21 14:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0800309296$2.1k
09-21 14:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.07$1.5k
09-21 12:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.96$3.7k
09-21 10:00Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.6272526644$5.2k
09-17 08:00Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?BUY0.96$1.2k
09-17 06:00Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.968$614.52
09-16 12:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.9$8.0k
09-15 18:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?BUY0.96$982.60
09-13 06:00Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?BUY0.99$102.56
09-02 00:04US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2$241.26
08-23 10:00US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?BUY0.988$11.13
08-23 10:00US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?BUY0.94$8.0k
08-17 00:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.96$4.0k
08-16 12:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?BUY0.9397524623$5.9k