0x3fd0190eb137e335db080b9855f90c86849f0022
0x3fd0190eb137e335db080b9855f90c86849f0022
- Realised P&L
- $-24.3k
- Volume
- $2.52M
- Markets traded
- 219
- Open portfolio
- $62.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded219
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.884Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
- +$5.0kat 0.210Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
- +$3.8kat 0.210Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?
- +$3.0kat 0.210Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
- +$2.9kat 0.210Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.982 | $579.38 |
| 09-21 14:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0800309296 | $2.1k |
| 09-21 14:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.5k |
| 09-21 12:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.7k |
| 09-21 10:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.6272526644 | $5.2k |
| 09-17 08:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.2k |
| 09-17 06:00 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.968 | $614.52 |
| 09-16 12:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $8.0k |
| 09-15 18:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $982.60 |
| 09-13 06:00 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $102.56 |
| 09-02 00:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $241.26 |
| 08-23 10:00 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25? | BUY | 0.988 | $11.13 |
| 08-23 10:00 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $8.0k |
| 08-17 00:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.0k |
| 08-16 12:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9397524623 | $5.9k |