PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3fb13dbd2c5a2331b3e52ee561784162e18b517f

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$60.8k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? · No0.9151.000$434.52+$36.52
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.8880.915$205.01+$6.01
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5670.525$184.20$14.80
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.4800.385$156.37$38.59
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1170.080$146.95$69.32
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.095$133.00$63.00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1280.105$105.50$22.50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.2640.205$85.00$24.45
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.3800.395$70.65+$2.68
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No0.7530.815$65.60+$4.96
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.5300.335$62.89$36.61
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0330.018$15.10$13.38
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No0.5800.001$0.17$198.83
Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.3690.000$0.00$24.87
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$191.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 20:15Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?BUY0.9155033219$398.00
09-12 16:31Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$1.1k
09-12 08:57Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?SELL0.8758132361$93.69
09-12 04:28Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.5037146691$202.70
09-11 20:08Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.7078485751$527.57
09-10 22:59Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?SELL0.8285126668$243.32
09-09 19:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4699999998$484.73
09-09 19:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4699999981$48.47
09-06 21:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.5799999992$199.00
09-02 21:26Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.6924113421$516.07
09-01 10:08Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.5299999977$99.50
08-30 13:51Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?BUY0.0699999918$7.60
08-28 19:14Will Russia target Kyiv by August 26, 2026?BUY0.0699999935$9.95
08-25 09:50Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.7533361229$196.59
08-25 09:12Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6776004814$199.00