0x3fb13dbd2c5a2331b3e52ee561784162e18b517f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $60.8k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$514.89at 0.729Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$445.24at 0.600Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$399.99at 0.240NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
- +$145.50at 0.603Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$129.11at 0.608Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:15 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.9155033219 | $398.00 |
| 09-12 16:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.1k |
| 09-12 08:57 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.8758132361 | $93.69 |
| 09-12 04:28 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.5037146691 | $202.70 |
| 09-11 20:08 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.7078485751 | $527.57 |
| 09-10 22:59 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8285126668 | $243.32 |
| 09-09 19:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4699999998 | $484.73 |
| 09-09 19:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4699999981 | $48.47 |
| 09-06 21:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $199.00 |
| 09-02 21:26 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6924113421 | $516.07 |
| 09-01 10:08 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999977 | $99.50 |
| 08-30 13:51 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4? | BUY | 0.0699999918 | $7.60 |
| 08-28 19:14 | Will Russia target Kyiv by August 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999935 | $9.95 |
| 08-25 09:50 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.7533361229 | $196.59 |
| 08-25 09:12 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6776004814 | $199.00 |