PolyBot

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Traders

IntoDarkness779

0x3d3c9c99430a6f94e187b0ef54c17123dca5630b

Realised P&L
$-220.20
Volume
$30.6k
Markets traded
212
Open portfolio
$56.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded212
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? · Yes0.5120.725$19.39+$5.69
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? · No0.7691.000$6.50+$1.50
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.2600.265$5.10+$0.10
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.0500.205$4.10+$3.10
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1830.100$3.83−$3.17
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0050.011$2.34+$1.34
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0040.009$2.03+$1.03
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Turkey? · Yes0.0410.043$1.04+$0.04
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.0140.013$0.95−$0.05
Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas? · Georgia0.1800.170$0.94−$0.06
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0060.005$0.92−$0.08
America.gov removed by October 31? · Yes0.0310.028$0.90−$0.10
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0070.006$0.86−$0.14
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · Yes0.0900.075$0.83−$0.17
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.2500.205$0.82−$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 12:50Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
09-30 12:49Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Turkey?BUY0.041027644$1.00
09-30 12:49Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the United States?BUY0.0259999996$1.00
09-30 12:49America.gov removed by October 31?BUY0.0309999995$1.00
09-30 12:46Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in August?BUY0.0051372502$1.00
09-30 12:46Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?BUY0.0092850511$1.00
09-30 12:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
09-30 12:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-30 12:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.219999978$1.00
09-30 12:39Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7689999982$5.00
09-30 12:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.0599999988$1.00
09-30 12:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.0010614472$1.00
09-30 12:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.001$1.00
09-30 12:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-30 12:29Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?SELL0.22$10.19