IntoDarkness779
0x3d3c9c99430a6f94e187b0ef54c17123dca5630b
- Realised P&L
- $-220.20
- Volume
- $30.6k
- Markets traded
- 212
- Open portfolio
- $56.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded212
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.84at 0.383Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
- +$45.24at 0.215Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$15.55at 0.361Will England win on 2026-07-15?
- +$10.90at 0.091Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 9, 2026?
- +$10.89at 0.651Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 12:50 | Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:49 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Turkey? | BUY | 0.041027644 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:49 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the United States? | BUY | 0.0259999996 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:49 | America.gov removed by October 31? | BUY | 0.0309999995 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:46 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in August? | BUY | 0.0051372502 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:46 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August? | BUY | 0.0092850511 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:39 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7689999982 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 12:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.0010614472 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:29 | Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $10.19 |