PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

isaaclee

0x3c19a4756ad5efa023d33a85f35877c306287bab

Realised P&L
$-205.00
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
353
Open portfolio
$82.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded353
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · Yes0.1601.000$19.53+$16.41
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-06? · No0.2581.000$7.98+$5.92
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3680.350$7.52−$0.38
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1601.000$6.75+$5.67
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yes0.3001.000$5.17+$3.62
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? · No0.2401.000$5.13+$3.90
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2470.155$4.93−$2.93
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? · No0.2751.000$4.37+$3.17
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1600.298$4.23+$1.96
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.3500.895$3.66+$2.23
Will Vaishali R win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament? · Yes0.4021.000$3.06+$1.83
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.3681.000$2.83+$1.79
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026? · No0.5780.895$1.92+$0.68
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1630.123$1.83−$0.60
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2160.213$1.15−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-11 13:37Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.3679999009$1.04
04-11 13:36Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?BUY0.3519997965$0.94
04-11 12:50BMW Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Diego Dedura-PalomeroBUY0.2$0.97
04-11 12:30Will Red Star FC vs. SC Bastia end in a draw?SELL0.34$1.01
04-11 12:30Will Red Star FC vs. SC Bastia end in a draw?BUY0.3599998116$1.03
04-11 12:19Will Red Star FC vs. SC Bastia end in a draw?BUY0.3399998431$1.00
04-11 12:09Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)BUY0.3499997961$0.99
04-11 11:58Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?SELL0.28$0.94
04-11 11:58Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?BUY0.3299997982$0.99
04-11 11:58Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?BUY0.2899998666$0.96
04-11 11:43Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?SELL0.35$1.06
04-11 11:43Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?BUY0.3599998811$1.05
04-11 11:32Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.3$0.97
04-11 11:32Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.3099998373$1.01
04-11 09:30Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Martin LandaluceBUY0.2599998514$1.00