omgdildakk
0x3b9b3ea270356d5b83dcf0691f0a3172a15dc228
- Realised P&L
- $81.71
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $716.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.286 | 0.275 | $342.44 | −$13.30 |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.110 | $183.33 | −$16.66 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.021 | $109.84 | +$9.84 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.201 | 0.201 | $49.85 | −$0.15 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.145 | $19.33 | −$0.67 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No | 0.110 | 0.105 | $10.98 | −$0.52 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.365 | 0.011 | $0.29 | −$9.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.40at 0.895Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$40.54at 0.283Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
- +$-0.33at 0.300Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-21.05at 0.760Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:45 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.1099999995 | $11.50 |
| 09-17 20:39 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2011085255 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 20:35 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $200.00 |
| 09-17 20:24 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0186633985 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 18:03 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $56.54 |
| 09-16 18:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $896.71 |
| 09-16 16:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8899999995 | $798.88 |
| 09-16 16:33 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.74 | $778.95 |
| 09-16 12:46 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.76 | $800.00 |
| 09-15 17:34 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 17:33 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.29 | $9.67 |
| 09-05 12:19 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 20:41 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.2819999761 | $6.00 |
| 09-03 20:38 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.2830787054 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 20:37 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.3649999805 | $10.00 |