0x3aee183874934d8b07e209e22bb88aff11cba04a
- Realised P&L
- $-189.56
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 290
- Open portfolio
- $56.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded290
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.88at 0.640Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
- +$13.35at 0.510Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$12.27at 0.550Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 2.5 Corners
- +$9.83at 0.670Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.38at 0.480Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.36 |
| 08-04 01:33 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.8699999675 | $2.41 |
| 08-04 01:33 | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.8699999675 | $2.41 |
| 08-03 19:44 | Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin? | BUY | 0.9869999984 | $3.01 |
| 08-03 10:10 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.96 |
| 08-02 20:01 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.4699999478 | $1.44 |
| 08-02 18:27 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.31 |
| 08-02 15:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.41 |
| 08-02 08:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.9709998207 | $1.69 |
| 08-02 07:21 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.80999973 | $1.50 |
| 08-02 06:28 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.9399997078 | $1.93 |
| 08-01 04:25 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.956 | $1.65 |
| 07-31 16:21 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.62 | $1.24 |
| 07-29 22:44 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.7 | $1.43 |
| 07-29 00:31 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.8799995333 | $1.81 |