0x3ab1bccaf54c931c8a338153076fca9d9bc3e3a2
0x3ab1bccaf54c931c8a338153076fca9d9bc3e3a2
- Realised P&L
- $-6.84
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $12.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.76at 0.128Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$19.90at 0.337Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$11.78at 0.409Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
- +$4.40at 0.316Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
- +$2.07at 0.600Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 09:17 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 09:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.0429999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 09:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 09:10 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.006 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 09:08 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 09:03 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.0013314988 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 09:02 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 08:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 07:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 07:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 07:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 07:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 07:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 04:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 04:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $3.00 |