0x39D3C7740AFFe4e953F66700159116394D497c7C-1771250347473
0x39d3c7740affe4e953f66700159116394d497c7c
- Realised P&L
- $-137.09
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $39.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.10at 0.500US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
- +$1.87at 0.843Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$1.76at 0.740Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$1.24at 0.890Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
- +$0.18at 0.960Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 02:52 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 02:45 | Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0042749292 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 02:38 | Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 02:31 | Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $5.14 |
| 08-20 02:31 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $5.97 |
| 08-20 02:29 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $45.92 |
| 08-20 02:28 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.08 |
| 08-20 02:27 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.06 |
| 08-20 02:19 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.121 | $2.02 |
| 08-20 02:18 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.99 |
| 08-20 02:17 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $10.11 |
| 08-20 02:16 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.17 |
| 07-22 07:32 | Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.0014724389 | $0.11 |
| 07-20 13:56 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 07-20 11:44 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.075 | $0.75 |