PolyBot

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Traders

0x39D3C7740AFFe4e953F66700159116394D497c7C-1771250347473

0x39d3c7740affe4e953f66700159116394d497c7c

Realised P&L
$-137.09
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$39.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration89.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.7060.875$10.60+$2.04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.935$5.77+$0.77
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.7900.885$5.60+$0.60
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2800.305$5.45+$0.45
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No0.7700.905$3.53+$0.53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1700.165$3.51$0.10
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.5500.895$2.20+$0.85
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.125$1.04+$0.04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1000.065$0.65$0.35
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.1530.098$0.64$0.36
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0610.031$0.50$0.48
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0050.001$0.22$1.78
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? · No0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.1800.000$0.00$36.01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.0370.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 02:52Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2799999731$5.00
08-20 02:45Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0042749292$1.00
08-20 02:38Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.005$1.00
08-20 02:31Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?SELL0.971$5.14
08-20 02:31US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9$5.97
08-20 02:29 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?SELL0.89$45.92
08-20 02:28Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?SELL0.99$3.08
08-20 02:27Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.007$0.06
08-20 02:19Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.121$2.02
08-20 02:18Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.94$4.99
08-20 02:17OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?SELL0.91$10.11
08-20 02:16Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?SELL0.995$5.17
07-22 07:32Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.0014724389$0.11
07-20 13:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.23$4.60
07-20 11:44Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.075$0.75