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Traders

guanda1990

0x38fdf3f7be9580b6610441245974953d7d8bc6bb

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$320.8k
Markets traded
453
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded453
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9200.945$330.75+$8.75
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.945$283.50+$1.50
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9540.987$207.16+$6.85
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.955$191.00+$7.00
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.7300.865$173.00+$27.00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5600.860$172.00+$60.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8000.835$167.00+$7.00
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9200.981$117.72+$7.32
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9950.996$99.55+$0.05
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · No0.9100.993$99.30+$8.30
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.9200.980$97.95+$5.95
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9560.972$97.15+$1.55
Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.967$96.70+$0.70
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.955$95.50+$2.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.8340.841$94.98+$0.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:30Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?BUY0.94$94.00
09-17 16:28Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.896$89.60
09-17 16:28OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?BUY0.84$47.88
09-17 16:27Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.93$93.00
09-07 08:00Will edgeX reach $1.40 before 2027?SELL0.36$7.19
09-07 07:59Will edgeX reach $1.60 before 2027?BUY0.09$2.25
09-06 16:49Will Hyperliquid reach $150 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$32.00
09-06 16:42Will edgeX reach $1.40 before 2027?BUY0.19$5.70
09-06 16:41Will edgeX reach $1.40 before 2027?BUY0.18$22.15
09-03 07:00Iran leadership change by October 31?BUY0.95$95.00
09-03 06:59US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.92$92.00
09-03 06:57Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?BUY0.73$73.00
09-03 06:56NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.88$88.00
08-14 16:59Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.88$88.00
08-14 16:56Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.834$94.24