PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

STBSTS

0x38c49282c13d63a4e66defeabbc4c6679aba285e

Realised P&L
$-112.26
Volume
$23.4k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$11.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.004$3.49−$2.52
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 60 and 89 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? · Yes0.0010.003$2.50+$1.50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.004$2.02+$0.03
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? · Yes0.0010.003$0.89+$0.59
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have fewer than 30 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? · Yes0.0010.002$0.89+$0.30
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 30 and 59 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? · Yes0.0010.002$0.78+$0.26
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Will Choi-wan peak as a Strong typhoon? · Yes0.0010.003$0.40+$0.24
Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker? · Yes0.0010.006$0.05+$0.04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$32.82
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$19.04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$31.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.0180.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 12:10Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?BUY0.001$1.00
10-08 12:05Will Choi-wan peak as a Strong typhoon?BUY0.001$0.16
10-08 12:04Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?BUY0.001$0.01
10-08 11:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-08 11:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.02$1.00
10-08 11:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.0599999988$1.00
09-27 03:40Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.009$1.01
09-27 03:37Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.005$1.00
05-05 16:37Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.033$1.02
04-30 15:32Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.032$1.02
03-27 04:11Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.011$1.00
03-27 04:08Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.01$11.46
03-16 04:43Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.0329999684$1.00