Ccc
0x381f4b69dbf6d97cecc7fd688ba9c9d7a540bc99
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $223.8k
- Markets traded
- 205
- Open portfolio
- $860.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded205
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.718Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.907Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$716.11at 0.668US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$485.30at 0.804Will Trump say 'Zelenskyy' during the 2025 State of the Union?
- +$423.30at 0.768Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 16:52 | Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 05:29 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $27.90 |
| 09-03 19:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 19:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 18:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $38.00 |
| 09-01 18:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 09-01 18:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 18:37 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 08-30 22:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.0489999858 | $3.20 |
| 08-26 15:08 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999928 | $25.00 |
| 08-26 15:06 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $17.28 |
| 08-24 05:26 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $164.14 |
| 08-21 14:33 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.6275715265 | $109.81 |
| 08-21 00:36 | Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $58.98 |
| 08-20 22:40 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $27.56 |