Ccc
0x381f4b69dbf6d97cecc7fd688ba9c9d7a540bc99
- Realised P&L
- $3.3k
- Volume
- $220.2k
- Markets traded
- 191
- Open portfolio
- $942.06
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded191
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.718Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.907Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$716.11at 0.668US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$485.30at 0.804Will Trump say 'Zelenskyy' during the 2025 State of the Union?
- +$446.45at 0.643Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:53 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 19:46 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.131529498 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 19:44 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.236 | $3.54 |
| 08-02 19:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.259 | $3.89 |
| 08-02 19:40 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999616 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 19:46 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $69.12 |
| 08-01 18:15 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 17:48 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999462 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 17:48 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999989 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 17:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $24.80 |
| 07-29 14:36 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.80 |
| 07-27 07:04 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 07:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $15.00 |
| 07-23 20:22 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $6.88 |
| 07-23 20:21 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? | SELL | 0.8772337404 | $61.77 |