0x37cdcbae90f385cd03babbe625bd4bfee282f05f
- Realised P&L
- $-6.07
- Volume
- $52.27
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $2.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026? · Up | 0.940 | 0.905 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.053 | $0.48 | −$0.51 |
| US recession by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.095 | $0.43 | −$0.57 |
| Negative GDP growth in 2026? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.021 | $0.21 | −$0.79 |
| Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.94 |
| Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.03at 0.889OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- +$-0.26at 0.300Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 10:23 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.84 |
| 06-03 10:23 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.2926793558 | $2.00 |
| 06-03 09:10 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $0.97 |
| 06-03 08:43 | Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 08:43 | Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 06-03 08:25 | Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 08:25 | Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.1092480874 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 08:25 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $0.99 |
| 06-03 08:25 | Negative GDP growth in 2026? | BUY | 0.099 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 08:25 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.00 |