Paskin235
0x366905ad78a90729a81269a0d1e832929d05b4bd
- Realised P&L
- $-150.71
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $200.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.67at 0.359Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$49.22at 0.358Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$38.67at 0.199Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$32.54at 0.556Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
- +$29.90at 0.565 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 13:47 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0149999941 | $2.50 |
| 09-02 18:28 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $3.01 |
| 08-14 15:35 | Theo James announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0549999937 | $7.86 |
| 08-14 09:10 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.111 | $1.71 |
| 08-14 09:10 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1142092678 | $6.93 |
| 08-10 00:51 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $7.84 |
| 08-10 00:49 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.983 | $5.85 |
| 08-08 13:51 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.976 | $2.62 |
| 08-07 22:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.0279999946 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 14:00 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.033 | $2.04 |
| 07-29 17:43 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0240000002 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 14:05 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | BUY | 0.0234442926 | $1.51 |
| 07-29 10:11 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $7.27 |
| 07-28 20:27 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | BUY | 0.0219999902 | $2.17 |
| 07-28 17:34 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999907 | $8.00 |