PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mutong

0x358805187437c0a300fa610c9053b5b77f33302f

Realised P&L
$-881.44
Volume
$67.7k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2070.221$551.25+$32.63
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1750.160$319.00$31.92
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1430.077$232.50$195.50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3200.305$91.50$4.50
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5600.405$14.46$5.54
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2500.065$5.20$14.80
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? · Yes0.0060.002$1.80$5.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 13:33Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.198$198.00
07-19 21:10Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.25$25.00
07-19 20:47Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.392$39.20
07-19 20:42Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.3960186707$111.78
07-17 12:55Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?SELL0.89$10.47
07-17 12:52Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.411$205.50
07-17 12:48Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.411$205.50
07-14 21:02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.433$216.50
07-14 20:50Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.26$20.80
07-07 18:11Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.064$64.00
07-07 16:32Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceSELL0.29$29.00
07-07 05:05Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceBUY0.15$15.00
07-01 16:21Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.2199999936$20.00
07-01 16:17Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.077$77.00
06-17 13:49Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.103$24.00