martinzzz
0x35813c34af47a45c923c2c46638c45fbb9779f2d
- Realised P&L
- $-93.40
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 204
- Open portfolio
- $264.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded204
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.33at 0.227Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?
- +$5.88at 0.412Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
- +$5.50at 0.450Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?
- +$5.18at 0.482Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?
- +$5.01at 0.641Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 21:56 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-07 20:44 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 20:39 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-05 15:14 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 09-05 14:58 | Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 09-05 14:41 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 09-05 14:31 | Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-05 12:38 | Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-03 16:26 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 12? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-03 16:17 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.956 | $4.78 |
| 09-03 15:38 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.50 |
| 09-03 15:16 | Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? | BUY | 0.9449998012 | $4.73 |
| 09-03 15:05 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 09-03 14:55 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-03 13:47 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |