PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DarrylMoon3376

0x3506ae0733cbc61fe802665725dce7699eda4815

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$194.8k
Markets traded
294
Open portfolio
$214.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded294
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.275$95.97$26.18
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? · No0.5800.445$72.98$22.14
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · O 84.50.1400.066$40.41$45.97
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? · No0.4600.435$2.61$0.15
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9030.050$2.18$37.55
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No0.7600.265$0.53$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 05:01Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?SELL0.8$5.60
06-16 04:55Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?SELL0.8$12.00
04-11 17:51Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?SELL0.25$5.75
04-11 17:50Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.83$654.87
04-11 15:16Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?BUY0.84$662.76
04-11 08:59Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.176$55.26
04-11 08:53Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 18m?SELL0.981$444.39
04-10 23:31Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?BUY0.26$5.98
04-10 22:45Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)BUY0.48$61.44
04-10 16:05Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY0.549$172.39
04-10 14:25Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 18m?BUY0.89$403.17
04-09 10:04Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?SELL0.55$883.85
03-29 16:15Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?BUY0.58$1.0k
03-25 19:05Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?SELL0.823$225.50
03-25 17:16OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?SELL0.2$48.80