PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Dualtrol

0x3493f828a284d03a67123003d4403ede49ae40af

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$167.4k
Markets traded
1,218
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,218
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No0.9030.936$1.3k+$46.67
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No0.8780.921$526.95+$24.64
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.7700.885$229.87+$29.87
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5600.715$220.66+$47.66
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.955$214.61+$14.61
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6340.845$133.20+$33.20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.6600.935$124.62+$36.65
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8500.962$113.12+$13.12
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6960.905$112.04+$25.90
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5990.575$96.03$3.97
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5210.567$77.85+$6.30
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.5820.730$59.69+$12.09
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.895$38.36+$8.36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.8700.992$34.21+$4.21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.775$31.00+$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-19 18:47LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5129672164$50.00
08-19 11:39LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.6899999952$40.00
08-19 11:35LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.78$40.00
08-19 11:33LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupSELL0.38$6.78
08-19 11:32LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.75$50.00
08-19 11:09LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupBUY0.5599999776$10.00
08-19 08:05LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupBUY0.8499999787$20.00
08-17 08:03Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.9319999992$500.00
08-16 03:50UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.1699999871$10.00
08-16 03:37UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.2699999963$50.00
08-16 03:25Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$30.00
08-16 03:23Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6109999994$50.00
08-16 03:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.8699999968$30.00
08-16 03:18Fight to Go the Distance?SELL0.95$34.83
08-16 03:06Fight to Go the Distance?BUY0.6$10.00