0x34881Cb03a61B7dcc89197aE8CE67Af73D0c4a94-1775917108405
0x34881cb03a61b7dcc89197ae8ce67af73d0c4a94
- Realised P&L
- $-47.56
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $97.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.78at 0.147Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
- +$13.61at 0.720Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$4.32at 0.066Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
- +$2.35at 0.977Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?
- +$1.51at 0.930Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 17:56 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4609999989 | $52.29 |
| 07-08 13:21 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $53.78 |
| 07-02 20:19 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.0899999953 | $16.00 |
| 07-02 20:18 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $16.00 |
| 06-29 18:37 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $11.48 |
| 06-28 20:49 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.16 | $18.48 |
| 06-28 20:49 | Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.169999995 | $25.00 |
| 06-28 20:46 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0529999951 | $10.00 |
| 06-28 20:45 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.1147227441 | $10.00 |
| 06-28 20:45 | Epstein client list released by July 31? | BUY | 0.0660132477 | $10.00 |
| 06-28 20:44 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | BUY | 0.6999999685 | $20.00 |
| 06-28 20:44 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0995024876 | $10.00 |
| 06-28 20:43 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 06-28 20:43 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 06-28 20:41 | Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | BUY | 0.173216815 | $10.00 |