PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x34881Cb03a61B7dcc89197aE8CE67Af73D0c4a94-1775917108405

0x34881cb03a61b7dcc89197ae8ce67af73d0c4a94

Realised P&L
$-47.56
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$97.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.7000.785$22.43+$2.43
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.0620.041$17.03−$8.97
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1600.106$12.30−$6.18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7000.825$11.79+$1.79
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1700.051$7.43−$17.57
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · Yes0.1730.125$7.22−$2.78
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4200.135$6.43−$13.57
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.1150.060$5.23−$4.77
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0530.024$4.43−$5.57
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.035$2.96−$11.63
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.4200.032$0.75−$9.25
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 3, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$10.00
Epstein client list released by July 31? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$10.00
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes0.4610.000$0.00−$52.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 17:56Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.4609999989$52.29
07-08 13:21Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?SELL0.22$53.78
07-02 20:19Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.0899999953$16.00
07-02 20:18Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?BUY0.05$16.00
06-29 18:37Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 3, 2026?SELL0.31$11.48
06-28 20:49Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.16$18.48
06-28 20:49Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.169999995$25.00
06-28 20:46Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0529999951$10.00
06-28 20:45Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?BUY0.1147227441$10.00
06-28 20:45Epstein client list released by July 31?BUY0.0660132477$10.00
06-28 20:44Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?BUY0.6999999685$20.00
06-28 20:44Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?BUY0.0995024876$10.00
06-28 20:43Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 3, 2026?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
06-28 20:43Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 3, 2026?BUY0.1399999888$10.00
06-28 20:41Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?BUY0.173216815$10.00