0x3413d1f56798c9c3f00829dcc921171d237ad913
- Realised P&L
- $-126.53
- Volume
- $15.7k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $63.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.99at 0.122Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
- +$15.08at 0.117Will "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the IEM Cologne 2026 Grand Finals?
- +$13.70at 0.522Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
- +$11.00at 0.416Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
- +$9.19at 0.504Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 22:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.56 |
| 08-08 22:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $2.71 |
| 08-07 16:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.56 |
| 08-07 16:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.56 |
| 08-07 16:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.56 |
| 08-07 16:22 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.008 | $7.11 |
| 08-07 14:07 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 13:24 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 13:17 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 12:49 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 03:50 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 00:16 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 22:44 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 22:09 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 22:01 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8299992198 | $1.00 |