Guyton
0x32ff61def040af168298bd19b436fe2ae4c2f19d
- Realised P&L
- $-131.24
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $319.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.82at 0.731Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$76.27at 0.654Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?
- +$57.56at 0.631Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$53.38at 0.650Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
- +$45.78at 0.689Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 15:56 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $54.00 |
| 10-27 15:55 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.842 | $25.26 |
| 10-27 15:53 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.568351778 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 15:44 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.2085893099 | $35.40 |
| 10-27 15:43 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 10-27 15:43 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.07 | $17.05 |
| 10-25 22:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1794258371 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 23:00 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5512326785 | $30.00 |
| 10-18 22:46 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.794999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 22:36 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | BUY | 0.8002054832 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 19:27 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.6799999978 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 22:32 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.008 | $6.67 |
| 10-04 22:07 | Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.051700102 | $3.04 |
| 10-04 21:54 | Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.09 |
| 10-04 21:21 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $100.00 |