Guyton
0x32ff61def040af168298bd19b436fe2ae4c2f19d
- Realised P&L
- $-52.98
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $348.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.60at 0.723Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$57.56at 0.631Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$53.38at 0.650Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
- +$34.44at 0.710US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$29.97at 0.376Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in March 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 02:44 | Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.5099999952 | $30.00 |
| 07-15 01:52 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3549999965 | $50.00 |
| 07-03 14:18 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.896122449 | $87.82 |
| 06-15 23:35 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.6899999834 | $35.00 |
| 05-29 22:02 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.6199999977 | $70.00 |
| 05-29 18:30 | Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.4299999979 | $50.00 |
| 05-29 18:04 | Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.5699999979 | $94.11 |
| 05-29 17:48 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL | 0.9510375 | $95.10 |
| 05-29 17:45 | Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 05-29 17:34 | Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.8 | $100.00 |
| 05-29 17:32 | Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | SELL | 0.77 | $104.57 |
| 05-29 17:22 | Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.8099999994 | $110.00 |
| 05-29 14:00 | Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | SELL | 0.64 | $38.40 |
| 05-29 13:57 | Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $40.00 |
| 05-29 13:33 | Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.6599999976 | $50.00 |