Hazaswine
0x32b61f77818ee062a1cf0ad4312752879e1a2f9f
- Realised P&L
- $13.9k
- Volume
- $484.5k
- Markets traded
- 480
- Open portfolio
- $31.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded480
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.7kat 0.630Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
- +$3.8kat 0.154Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.6kat 0.254Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$2.1kat 0.689Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
- +$1.8kat 0.497Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:34 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.66 | $66.00 |
| 09-15 12:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 09-15 09:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $450.00 |
| 09-15 08:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.37686 | $18.84 |
| 09-11 23:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $560.00 |
| 09-11 22:55 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.088 | $149.60 |
| 09-11 18:09 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.088 | $88.00 |
| 09-11 18:08 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.088 | $88.00 |
| 09-11 17:20 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5434377088 | $271.71 |
| 09-08 12:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5643564339 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 12:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 16:20 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.6 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 19:20 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $17.45 |
| 09-01 08:46 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.43 | $86.00 |
| 08-30 06:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $115.00 |