PolyBot

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Traders

Hazaswine

0x32b61f77818ee062a1cf0ad4312752879e1a2f9f

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$500.0k
Markets traded
506
Open portfolio
$37.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded506
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3940.715$11.3k+$5.1k
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.5400.969$7.7k+$3.4k
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5200.845$4.5k+$1.7k
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5010.895$3.7k+$1.6k
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.945$1.6k+$416.40
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4600.961$1.3k+$700.70
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.3060.445$1.1k+$328.43
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3080.175$787.40−$600.43
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6720.745$745.00+$73.26
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0840.098$584.65+$80.56
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4920.445$523.85−$55.15
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.4690.620$395.78+$95.78
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.3270.945$289.21+$189.21
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4800.705$265.08+$84.60
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.6250.955$252.06+$87.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 23:46Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$66.00
10-21 23:45Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$6.30
10-21 23:44Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.788181$394.09
10-18 06:08Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?BUY0.9179999982$30.00
10-18 01:57Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.7599999848$10.00
10-17 16:22Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1429999999$27.00
10-13 19:25Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.002$10.00
10-13 19:24Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.003$10.00
10-13 04:12Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.2298806919$200.00
10-12 06:37Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.079$100.00
10-10 17:09Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0993976502$10.00
10-09 17:35Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999987$5.00
10-09 17:35Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1006864982$12.00
10-09 17:28Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?BUY0.73$100.00
10-09 04:27Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.147$14.70