PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3242329ec038CD34614C1108119512ae8A7c30EE-1762624604780

0x3242329ec038cd34614c1108119512ae8a7c30ee

Realised P&L
$-15.24
Volume
$57.9k
Markets traded
608
Open portfolio
$763.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded608
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3800.475$124.84+$24.84
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.6120.840$124.34+$33.74
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.5800.825$102.41+$30.41
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.4280.615$94.12+$28.66
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.7600.875$80.59+$10.59
No one announced as next James Bond? · No0.7820.766$49.01$0.99
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.3900.335$42.95$7.05
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3470.395$21.73+$2.63
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6200.655$21.13+$1.13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5260.485$14.00$1.20
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3640.240$12.44$6.46
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.3830.327$11.09$1.91
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1990.221$11.08+$1.08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2200.165$10.17$3.39
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December? · Yes0.1000.075$9.31$3.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 13:29No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.7819999991$50.00
09-16 19:12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5299999868$10.00
09-16 14:48Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.0539999996$3.00
09-13 23:31Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.89$110.00
09-13 22:35Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?BUY0.5409999844$9.00
09-13 22:34No one announced as next James Bond?SELL0.211$3.73
09-13 19:38Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.89$110.00
09-13 13:40Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.7006896552$101.60
09-12 22:49Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?BUY0.2309999909$4.00
09-12 22:32No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.5653731983$10.00
09-12 22:19No one announced as next James Bond?SELL0.473$9.74
09-12 11:24Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.2$3.00
09-12 11:24Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.0877805483$2.00
09-12 11:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7599999931$70.00
09-12 11:17Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.38$28.54