0x3242329ec038CD34614C1108119512ae8A7c30EE-1762624604780
0x3242329ec038cd34614c1108119512ae8a7c30ee
- Realised P&L
- $-15.24
- Volume
- $57.9k
- Markets traded
- 608
- Open portfolio
- $763.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded608
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$674.65at 0.831Netanyahu out by June 30?
- +$322.51at 0.738Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
- +$313.71at 0.728Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
- +$263.69at 0.723Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
- +$257.87at 0.660Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:29 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.7819999991 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 19:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 14:48 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.0539999996 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 23:31 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.89 | $110.00 |
| 09-13 22:35 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.5409999844 | $9.00 |
| 09-13 22:34 | No one announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.211 | $3.73 |
| 09-13 19:38 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.89 | $110.00 |
| 09-13 13:40 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.7006896552 | $101.60 |
| 09-12 22:49 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.2309999909 | $4.00 |
| 09-12 22:32 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.5653731983 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 22:19 | No one announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.473 | $9.74 |
| 09-12 11:24 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 11:24 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.0877805483 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 11:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999931 | $70.00 |
| 09-12 11:17 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.38 | $28.54 |