0x3242329ec038CD34614C1108119512ae8A7c30EE-1762624604780
0x3242329ec038cd34614c1108119512ae8a7c30ee
- Realised P&L
- $-324.53
- Volume
- $60.6k
- Markets traded
- 620
- Open portfolio
- $402.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded620
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$674.65at 0.831Netanyahu out by June 30?
- +$387.34at 0.524Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- +$178.57at 0.379US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$171.20at 0.130Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$109.00at 0.256U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 02:30 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.0152565484 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 02:30 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.05 |
| 11-01 02:29 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31? | BUY | 0.0229002312 | $3.00 |
| 10-29 12:18 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.042 | $8.23 |
| 10-29 12:17 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 10-29 12:17 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.7899999827 | $3.20 |
| 10-29 03:30 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 10-29 03:30 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 10-29 02:31 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 10-29 02:20 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.46 | $50.14 |
| 10-29 02:19 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $137.65 |
| 10-29 01:54 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.44 | $49.72 |
| 10-29 01:53 | No one announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.7775563028 | $49.72 |
| 10-29 01:50 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.4399999969 | $11.36 |
| 10-29 01:28 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.981 | $10.44 |