PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lowrisk24

0x3238761f20d804b6ae5776e94cdefd79ca313291

Realised P&L
$-109.1k
Volume
$7.23M
Markets traded
1,072
Open portfolio
$13.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,072
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · No0.8560.915$4.1k+$267.72
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8900.945$3.8k+$220.00
Nothing Ever Happens: October · Nothing0.9591.000$2.2k+$89.64
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.964$1.1k+$134.98
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes0.8500.865$958.56+$16.62
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7900.825$825.00+$35.00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8470.972$728.98+$93.75
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? · Down0.9620.000$0.00−$7.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 21:20Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberBUY0.9657955449$1.2k
10-19 21:19Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.97$1.2k
10-13 21:31NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?BUY0.92$169.01
10-10 11:19Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?BUY0.85$941.94
09-04 19:43Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?BUY0.81$620.27
09-01 08:52NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?BUY0.87$494.36
08-26 22:20Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?BUY0.91$283.01
08-26 22:20Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.52$150.26
08-24 20:38Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.93$1.2k
08-24 18:17Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.43$1.4k
08-24 17:43Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-08-24?BUY0.9$28.26
08-23 20:50Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.9699752941$1.6k
08-23 20:48Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?SELL0.978$1.4k
08-06 23:06Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.94$3.8k
08-06 23:04Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.7978765$3.8k