Duke-O
0x311e0184fd5867e8a0d48ab0dfef649065fc62a8
- Realised P&L
- $-660.69
- Volume
- $50.3k
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $158.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$163.88at 0.180Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$102.47at 0.338Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$64.63at 0.100SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
- +$60.27at 0.220Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$52.20at 0.100Will Biden drop out on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 06:51 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 06:41 | Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0719999938 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 06:40 | Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |
| 06-18 06:40 | Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 06:37 | Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 06:37 | Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 06:37 | Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 06:37 | Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0489999851 | $3.00 |
| 06-18 06:37 | Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 06-18 06:36 | Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0478908001 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 06:36 | Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0419999868 | $3.00 |
| 06-18 06:36 | Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0377358491 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 06:36 | Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0309999902 | $3.00 |
| 06-18 06:35 | Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3099999401 | $3.00 |
| 06-18 06:34 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |