PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Duke-O

0x311e0184fd5867e8a0d48ab0dfef649065fc62a8

Realised P&L
$-660.69
Volume
$50.3k
Markets traded
190
Open portfolio
$158.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded190
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.7500.810$32.42+$2.42
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4800.215$22.39$27.61
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.085$18.89$1.11
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1570.135$17.13$2.87
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1400.065$13.93$16.07
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0160.013$10.33$2.67
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.2570.125$9.72$10.28
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1160.153$6.62+$1.62
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? · No0.6700.875$6.53+$1.53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.5200.655$6.30+$1.30
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1800.037$4.17$15.83
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1080.040$3.66$6.34
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1490.070$2.35$2.65
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0560.018$1.66$3.34
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1400.038$1.37$3.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 06:51SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
06-18 06:41Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0719999938$10.00
06-18 06:40Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.149999994$20.00
06-18 06:40Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
06-18 06:37Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
06-18 06:37Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.05$2.00
06-18 06:37Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
06-18 06:37Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0489999851$3.00
06-18 06:37Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.05$3.00
06-18 06:36Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0478908001$5.00
06-18 06:36Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0419999868$3.00
06-18 06:36Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0377358491$2.00
06-18 06:36Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0309999902$3.00
06-18 06:35Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3099999401$3.00
06-18 06:34Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5199999834$5.00
Trader Duke-O · PolyBot