0x311B0EA81A479Df2F01f862d85E8095fb93C30D9-1778520337961
0x311b0ea81a479df2f01f862d85e8095fb93c30d9
- Realised P&L
- $-40.08
- Volume
- $28.2k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $73.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.63at 0.190Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?
- +$37.43at 0.124Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 16?
- +$35.14at 0.227Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$33.84at 0.307Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?
- +$32.34at 0.211Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 18:55 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.0139999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 18:54 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.67 |
| 10-26 16:22 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0133007907 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 15:41 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.1769999973 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 15:41 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.2 | $25.00 |
| 10-26 15:32 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.1759999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 13:04 | Will Robinhood say "Options" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.0588235294 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 16:29 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan? | BUY | 0.048 | $1.50 |
| 10-25 15:42 | SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3699999958 | $15.00 |
| 10-25 15:40 | Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? | BUY | 0.1479999991 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 14:09 | Will Coca-Cola say "Middle East" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 14:08 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0358145198 | $15.00 |
| 10-25 14:07 | Will Coca-Cola say "Refund" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.2659376429 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 14:06 | Will Robinhood say "Perp" / "Perpetual" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.17 |
| 10-25 12:47 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |