Flowershine
0x31115b84c02a19209631c964452951a97babfaff
- Realised P&L
- $-89.94
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $14.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.59at 0.089Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
- +$7.27at 0.128MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?
- +$6.07at 0.141Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?
- +$5.22at 0.165Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
- +$4.53at 0.184Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 06:34 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 06:33 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 06:33 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 06:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 06:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 06:32 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 00:21 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.53 |
| 08-21 00:20 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.57 |
| 08-21 00:20 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.229 | $0.59 |
| 08-21 00:19 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.97 |
| 08-21 00:18 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.08 |
| 08-21 00:18 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.963 | $1.16 |
| 06-26 14:31 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 14:31 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 14:30 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |