PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Flowershine

0x31115b84c02a19209631c964452951a97babfaff

Realised P&L
$-89.94
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$14.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1920.265$2.76+$0.76
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.255$1.34+$0.34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5500.715$1.30+$0.30
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7? · Yes0.1000.125$1.25+$0.25
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0990.055$1.11$0.89
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5400.595$1.10+$0.10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8700.895$1.03+$0.03
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1060.097$0.91$0.09
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2200.125$0.57$0.43
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0450.019$0.43$0.57
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · Yes0.3400.145$0.43$0.57
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.3700.155$0.42$0.58
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes0.4100.150$0.37$0.63
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1010.018$0.35$1.65
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0910.029$0.31$0.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 06:34Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-13 06:33Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-13 06:33Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
09-13 06:32Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-13 06:32Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$1.00
09-13 06:32Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$1.00
08-21 00:21Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?SELL0.08$0.53
08-21 00:20Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.15$0.57
08-21 00:20Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.229$0.59
08-21 00:19Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?SELL0.034$0.97
08-21 00:18Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.92$1.08
08-21 00:18Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.963$1.16
06-26 14:31Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
06-26 14:31Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.05$1.00
06-26 14:30Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.1699998861$1.00