PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2Fd5358bE6397519268f041731712E0754c9afcF-1781600081245

0x2fd5358be6397519268f041731712e0754c9afcf

Realised P&L
$-60.00
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$371.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6300.635$201.59+$1.59
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2300.215$46.74−$3.26
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December? · Yes0.1500.135$45.00−$5.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0850.043$25.09−$24.91
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.0800.065$20.39−$4.61
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.055$19.72−$5.28
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.080$12.50−$12.50
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? · No0.1100.000$0.00−$100.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? · No0.0070.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30? · No0.1100.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 18:50Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$25.00
09-25 18:48Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?BUY0.2299999993$50.00
09-25 18:43Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6299999989$200.00
09-23 16:56Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?BUY0.1499999997$50.00
09-23 16:52Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.0796812749$25.00
09-23 16:52Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0697213933$25.00
09-23 16:49Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0846894624$50.00
06-16 11:17Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?BUY0.109999999$100.00
06-16 09:45US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0069999993$10.00
06-16 09:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.4$100.00
06-16 09:38Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?BUY0.109999999$100.00