0x2Fd5358bE6397519268f041731712E0754c9afcF-1781600081245
0x2fd5358be6397519268f041731712e0754c9afcf
- Realised P&L
- $-60.00
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $371.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.635 | $201.59 | +$1.59 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.215 | $46.74 | −$3.26 |
| Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.135 | $45.00 | −$5.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.043 | $25.09 | −$24.91 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.065 | $20.39 | −$4.61 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.055 | $19.72 | −$5.28 |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.080 | $12.50 | −$12.50 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? · No | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30? · No | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.00at 0.400Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 18:50 | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $25.00 |
| 09-25 18:48 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 18:43 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6299999989 | $200.00 |
| 09-23 16:56 | Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December? | BUY | 0.1499999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 16:52 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.0796812749 | $25.00 |
| 09-23 16:52 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0697213933 | $25.00 |
| 09-23 16:49 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0846894624 | $50.00 |
| 06-16 11:17 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30? | BUY | 0.109999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-16 09:45 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0069999993 | $10.00 |
| 06-16 09:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 06-16 09:38 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? | BUY | 0.109999999 | $100.00 |