PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x2F14faCA6255534c50Cd2fc2c406f21B8fF74841-1764805650809

0x2f14faca6255534c50cd2fc2c406f21b8ff74841

Realised P&L
$-387.65
Volume
$18.5k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$222.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1620.065$182.15$271.85
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9200.977$21.24+$1.24
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0130.011$5.96$1.04
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0430.033$3.78$1.22
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? · Yes0.1030.120$3.49+$0.49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0900.040$2.19$2.81
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0390.028$2.12$0.88
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? · No0.9700.920$1.71$0.09
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$3.00
Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$24.90
Trump out as President by April 30? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$45.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-23 20:12Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.06$3.00
06-20 20:46Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.0540000015$2.00
06-15 19:11Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.1899999726$5.00
06-15 19:10Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.1399999426$2.00
06-15 19:10Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.038999988$3.00
06-15 19:09Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0429999921$5.00
06-15 19:09Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0129999974$5.00
05-29 19:55Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0149999925$2.00
05-29 18:56Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.9199999687$20.00
05-29 18:54Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1199999981$50.00
05-29 18:53Trump out as President by June 30?BUY0.012$15.00
05-03 21:19Trump out as President by May 31?BUY0.0136637533$30.00
04-26 13:15Trump out as President by June 30?BUY0.05$9.43
04-26 13:15Trump out as President by April 30?BUY0.002$1.00
04-25 23:03Trump out as President by April 30?BUY0.003$15.00