PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Osc4rRojas

0x2d89e1c9ab47ab42faf02ada257749b399336f6b

Realised P&L
$-50.44
Volume
$37.3k
Markets traded
303
Open portfolio
$26.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded303
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8700.978$3.37+$0.37
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6900.720$3.13+$0.13
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8850.912$3.09+$0.09
Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl? · Girl0.5000.495$2.97$0.03
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4100.566$2.76+$0.76
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.8920.971$2.18+$0.18
Clavicular sentenced to prison? · No0.8700.945$2.17+$0.17
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.9100.978$2.15+$0.15
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9320.971$2.08+$0.08
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1970.221$1.12+$0.12
Will MrBeast hit 519 million subscribers by September 30? · Yes0.8900.885$0.99$0.01
Will MrBeast hit 519 million subscribers by September 30? · No0.6500.115$0.18$0.82
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$10.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00$3.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No0.0020.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 05:57Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl?BUY0.5$3.00
09-15 19:19Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.8919999929$2.00
09-15 19:18Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.6899998551$3.00
09-15 19:17S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 15?BUY0.001$1.00
09-13 04:33Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.9399999937$3.00
09-12 23:53Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.9099996679$2.00
09-05 23:35Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.91$1.00
09-05 23:35Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.92$1.00
09-04 16:47Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.8699999913$3.00
09-02 00:29Will MrBeast hit 519 million subscribers by September 30?BUY0.889999911$1.00
09-02 00:23Will MrBeast hit 519 million subscribers by September 30?BUY0.65$1.00
08-30 02:35Will CF América win on 2026-08-29?BUY0.8099999757$1.00
08-30 02:35Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-29?BUY0.001$1.00
08-29 01:52Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?BUY0.92$1.00
08-29 01:40Giants vs. JetsBUY0.77$2.00