PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

seppohovi

0x2d4cb55f4ebd5a671f77f50be836eae7cb612dd4

Realised P&L
$86.39
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$71.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.0750.071$14.50$0.75
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.5600.660$12.00+$1.82
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6300.639$10.23+$0.15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.9100.959$7.67+$0.39
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.8900.885$7.08$0.04
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.7700.880$7.04+$0.88
Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.7100.865$6.92+$1.24
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6500.815$6.52+$1.32
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs · Team Liquid0.2860.000$0.00$45.39
Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs · VARREL0.4500.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00$5.10
Saints vs. Lions · Saints0.1960.000$0.00$8.30
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton · Ben Shelton0.0100.000$0.00$2.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00$5.00
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs · Leviatán Esports0.6040.000$0.00$40.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 21:31Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.069$5.15
09-15 21:31Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.0683299384$5.10
09-15 18:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.51$5.10
09-15 15:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?SELL0.619$6.29
09-15 11:16Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.71$5.68
09-15 10:43Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.56$5.09
09-15 10:36Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.56$5.09
09-15 01:17Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.89$7.12
09-14 23:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15?BUY0.089$5.00
09-14 20:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?BUY0.492$5.00
09-13 23:39Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 63.5SELL0.424$4.52
09-13 23:36Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 63.5BUY0.408$4.35
09-13 21:46US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonBUY0.01$2.50
09-13 20:41Saints vs. LionsSELL0.452$7.50
09-13 20:41Saints vs. LionsSELL0.471$8.37