PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0x2c654dcc402d870945293201df05902f14d79379

Realised P&L
$-100.82
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
324
Open portfolio
$60.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded324
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · No0.9190.968$4.74+$0.24
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0870.035$2.44$3.56
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6050.645$2.13+$0.13
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3000.195$1.75$0.94
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1600.065$1.75$2.55
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.1300.055$1.44$1.96
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? · Yes0.6620.936$1.41+$0.41
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi · Susan Bandecchi0.7701.000$1.30+$0.30
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1100.033$1.26$2.94
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · Yes0.2500.120$1.22$1.33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? · Yes0.7600.915$1.20+$0.20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2700.095$1.20$2.20
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? · Yes0.9360.977$1.04+$0.04
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1990.207$1.04+$0.04
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3060.170$1.04$0.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 10:11Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.9209999889$1.00
08-04 10:11Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
08-04 10:11Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP MontrealBUY0.2599998648$1.00
08-04 10:10Will XRP reach $1.20 in August?BUY0.33999983$1.00
08-04 10:10NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?BUY0.0419999612$1.00
08-04 10:09Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.849999915$1.00
08-04 10:09Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?BUY0.1149999005$1.00
08-04 10:08Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan BandecchiBUY0.77$1.00
08-04 10:08Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?BUY0.6619997842$1.00
08-04 10:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.12$0.22
08-04 10:06Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.23$0.17
08-04 10:05US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.34$0.20
08-04 10:05Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?SELL0.47$0.28
08-04 10:05Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.37$0.21
08-04 10:04No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027SELL0.3$0.10
Trader 0x2c65…9379 · PolyBot