PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2b47DE3FB9F2F0F1DBDA7BF202A638e4fCC027fE-1768948903813

0x2b47de3fb9f2f0f1dbda7bf202a638e4fcc027fe

Realised P&L
$-884.78
Volume
$30.5k
Markets traded
158
Open portfolio
$70.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded158
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.4000.095$23.75$76.25
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.1880.043$23.10$76.90
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5100.512$10.05+$0.05
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3500.162$4.61$5.39
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.2800.105$3.76$6.24
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.1200.065$2.71$2.29
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0700.032$2.25$2.75
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$380.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$8.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 01:54Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.5099999566$2.00
07-29 01:53Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETSELL0.87$2.31
07-29 01:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETBUY0.7599999088$1.00
07-29 01:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETBUY0.74$1.00
07-29 01:44Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETBUY0.5$1.00
07-21 08:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.5699999555$5.00
06-30 02:16Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.3099999971$70.54
06-30 02:16Anthropic IPO before 2027?SELL0.7540070472$53.50
06-30 02:16Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.53$9.46
06-30 02:15OpenAI IPO before 2027?SELL0.27$5.29
06-30 02:15Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.17$2.66
06-30 02:15Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.09$1.55
06-30 02:14Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?SELL0.001$0.00
06-30 02:14Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?SELL0.001$0.01
06-30 02:14Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?SELL0.06$0.43