0x2b47DE3FB9F2F0F1DBDA7BF202A638e4fCC027fE-1768948903813
0x2b47de3fb9f2f0f1dbda7bf202a638e4fcc027fe
- Realised P&L
- $-884.78
- Volume
- $30.5k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $70.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$492.09at 0.557Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
- +$275.98at 0.617Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
- +$174.73at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
- +$129.65at 0.709Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$103.09at 0.492US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 01:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $2.31 |
| 07-29 01:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 01:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 01:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 08:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 02:16 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.3099999971 | $70.54 |
| 06-30 02:16 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.7540070472 | $53.50 |
| 06-30 02:16 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $9.46 |
| 06-30 02:15 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.29 |
| 06-30 02:15 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.66 |
| 06-30 02:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.55 |
| 06-30 02:14 | Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 06-30 02:14 | Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-30 02:14 | Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.43 |