0x2B301194e987Bfb4aFe6D0Db4b5f5ae83bdcCe6B-1778089558115
0x2b301194e987bfb4afe6d0db4b5f5ae83bdcce6b
- Realised P&L
- $-40.67
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $136.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.96at 0.298Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$19.99at 0.140Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$19.38at 0.574Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$17.78at 0.365Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
- +$12.01at 0.846Fed rate hike in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 18:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.94 |
| 10-11 13:56 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $4.44 |
| 10-11 12:26 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.402 | $2.41 |
| 10-11 04:56 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.42 |
| 10-09 08:59 | Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.68 | $5.44 |
| 10-09 04:56 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.412 | $2.07 |
| 10-08 23:32 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.35 |
| 10-08 21:29 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.421 | $2.93 |
| 10-08 11:26 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.207 | $2.02 |
| 10-08 11:05 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.209 | $2.04 |
| 10-08 10:35 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.207 | $2.02 |
| 10-08 08:41 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.434 | $2.55 |
| 10-07 20:32 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.48 |
| 10-07 17:47 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.121 | $0.87 |
| 10-07 05:44 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.432 | $2.73 |