0x2aF66Ee4148E1cfea9F8470f763d57F11E017FCE-1762026630486
0x2af66ee4148e1cfea9f8470f763d57f11e017fce
- Realised P&L
- $-81.00
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 313
- Open portfolio
- $186.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded313
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.31at 0.048Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
- +$30.90at 0.825Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
- +$19.64at 0.652Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
- +$17.13at 0.352Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
- +$15.19at 0.575Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 09:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 09:18 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.9789998655 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 09:17 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 04:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.899999955 | $6.00 |
| 10-16 04:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 16:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 16:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 16:04 | Will Flávio Roscoe win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.989 | $4.95 |
| 09-09 16:04 | Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 09-04 14:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999297 | $3.00 |
| 09-04 14:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 14:27 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.12 |
| 09-02 12:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 08-25 15:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 08-25 03:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999984 | $10.00 |