PolyBot

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Traders

0x2a6a21a3dc32515608847144f10ab0eb375780c1

0x2a6a21a3dc32515608847144f10ab0eb375780c1

Realised P&L
$54.00
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$42.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0410.029$8.60−$3.77
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4150.509$5.99+$1.11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7300.845$5.79+$0.79
Kash Patel out by December 31? · No0.7100.815$5.67+$0.73
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.0430.021$4.65−$4.87
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1980.161$3.93−$0.90
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2500.195$3.75−$1.06
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0370.022$3.47−$2.23
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.9200.165$0.90−$4.10
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4120.000$0.00−$1.94
Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$4.88
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · No0.7630.000$0.00−$14.82
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$4.79
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$1.96
Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5020.000$0.00−$2.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 06:04Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7699999399$5.00
08-01 06:51Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?SELL0.18$1.47
08-01 05:55Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6$4.90
08-01 05:11Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.7699999782$4.94
08-01 05:08Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.76$4.94
08-01 05:08Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.76$4.94
07-31 15:27Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.92$5.00
07-30 17:07Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?SELL0.6916612319$7.64
07-30 11:04Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9$4.97
07-30 11:04Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9$4.97
07-30 05:59Kash Patel out by December 31?BUY0.7099999655$4.94
07-30 05:58Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7299999679$5.00
07-28 00:56US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUY0.9599998618$5.00
07-28 00:07US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUY0.955$5.00
07-27 00:53New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$4.87