0x2a6a21a3dc32515608847144f10ab0eb375780c1
0x2a6a21a3dc32515608847144f10ab0eb375780c1
- Realised P&L
- $54.00
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $42.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.38at 0.115Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?
- +$32.43at 0.316Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.25at 0.259Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$2.76at 0.717Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.29at 0.567Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 06:04 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7699999399 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 06:51 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.47 |
| 08-01 05:55 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.90 |
| 08-01 05:11 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999782 | $4.94 |
| 08-01 05:08 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $4.94 |
| 08-01 05:08 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $4.94 |
| 07-31 15:27 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 17:07 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6916612319 | $7.64 |
| 07-30 11:04 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.97 |
| 07-30 11:04 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.97 |
| 07-30 05:59 | Kash Patel out by December 31? | BUY | 0.7099999655 | $4.94 |
| 07-30 05:58 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 00:56 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.9599998618 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 00:07 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.955 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 00:53 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.87 |