PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

InsiderRadar.io

0x29fedb1e5b0d94cddd9a280cba521190a84122cf

Realised P&L
$-495.74
Volume
$40.4k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$4.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.8701.000$529.77+$68.41
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · No0.9180.977$387.15+$23.19
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8250.855$346.15+$12.29
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3860.460$245.76+$39.49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9390.960$239.97+$5.18
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2610.605$231.46+$131.70
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5840.655$221.19+$23.93
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9200.925$213.19+$1.15
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9500.945$206.27$1.09
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.915$199.79$1.09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9500.945$198.63$1.05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4100.435$174.68+$10.04
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.6580.695$167.75+$8.93
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6500.675$160.38+$5.94
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.6000.585$139.17$3.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.1299999913$12.88
08-02 03:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5491328736$39.20
08-02 02:31US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4774358974$37.24
08-02 02:12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7899999995$44.80
08-02 01:21Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.23$17.02
08-01 17:28US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.1$23.32
07-31 13:36Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.7699999978$63.96
07-31 08:26Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.75$45.00
07-30 15:35Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.069999995$12.96
07-30 11:54Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.037$9.43
07-30 06:41Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2799999925$20.88
07-30 06:03Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.568574998$119.70
07-30 05:49Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6$142.74
07-30 05:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.07$17.36
07-30 03:52Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.65$154.44