takeshikovacs2
0x2955017b8fa613d0787d9870928cdb3516d0b736
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $108.5k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $33.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.74at 0.462Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
- +$37.77at 0.076Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on January 31?
- +$22.10at 0.290Will Solana dip to $80 in February?
- +$12.46at 0.610Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 13?
- +$12.11at 0.070Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 01:41 | Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.123 | $3.24 |
| 09-06 01:40 | Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 09-06 01:40 | Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.118 | $3.73 |
| 08-19 21:36 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 08-19 21:36 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 21:34 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $8.00 |
| 07-15 13:37 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 13:36 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $7.30 |
| 07-15 13:36 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $4.66 |
| 07-15 13:35 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.026 | $1.06 |
| 07-15 13:35 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $3.38 |
| 07-15 13:35 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $7.86 |
| 06-30 12:58 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.08 |
| 06-30 12:57 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $2.67 |
| 06-30 12:57 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $10.02 |