PolyBot

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Traders

takeshikovacs2

0x2955017b8fa613d0787d9870928cdb3516d0b736

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$108.5k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$33.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0060.003$14.83$18.78
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0120.004$8.54$17.69
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1560.017$3.75$31.76
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1200.021$2.32$10.65
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0410.004$1.80$19.35
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0030.002$1.50$1.50
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$0.50$1.50
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$102.46
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$39.99
Will Solana dip to $60 in February? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$17.00
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 31? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$1.50
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$49.93
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 30? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.21
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00$110.00
Will Solana reach $170 in February? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$10.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 01:41Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.123$3.24
09-06 01:40Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.12$6.00
09-06 01:40Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.118$3.73
08-19 21:36Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.003$3.00
08-19 21:36Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.002$2.00
08-19 21:34Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.008$8.00
07-15 13:37Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.15$15.00
07-15 13:36Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.006$7.30
07-15 13:36Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.015$4.66
07-15 13:35Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.026$1.06
07-15 13:35Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.015$3.38
07-15 13:35Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.005$7.86
06-30 12:58Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.007$3.08
06-30 12:57Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.006$2.67
06-30 12:57Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.032$10.02