0x282f3973673e8907223Fb329D9C0E20CeC1788B5-1774787160303
0x282f3973673e8907223fb329d9c0e20cec1788b5
- Realised P&L
- $-56.02
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $286.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.84at 0.580US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$20.30at 0.330Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
- +$10.00at 0.600Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
- +$7.52at 0.580Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
- +$-5.00at 0.003Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 13:15 | Kash Patel out by December 31? | BUY | 0.3299999837 | $10.70 |
| 07-25 13:11 | Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 13:05 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 13:04 | Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | BUY | 0.1603773346 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 13:03 | Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? | BUY | 0.0612006885 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 13:01 | Will Trump nationalize elections? | BUY | 0.1714383679 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 12:59 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.2348336434 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 12:58 | Will Donald Trump be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? | BUY | 0.1372451414 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 13:27 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.1822108274 | $19.65 |
| 07-19 13:26 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 12:39 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999976 | $39.90 |
| 05-09 12:34 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 12:28 | Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31? | BUY | 0.0640579702 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 12:25 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 12:24 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |