hoshigaki.kisame
0x277a9f0613deb53aa2aaaa2821184466566f6345
- Realised P&L
- $160.25
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $434.07
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.19at 0.161Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$53.40at 0.110Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$51.80at 0.309Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
- +$48.15at 0.037Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$44.84at 0.537Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 12:06 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.157 | $1.10 |
| 07-17 12:05 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.48 |
| 07-17 12:05 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 05-27 21:01 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.334 | $10.02 |
| 05-07 19:47 | Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner? | SELL | 0.42 | $21.00 |
| 05-06 20:32 | Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.30 |
| 05-06 20:14 | Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner? | SELL | 0.1114089347 | $1.95 |
| 04-07 19:08 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.034 | $1.02 |
| 04-07 19:06 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.055 | $1.10 |
| 04-07 19:06 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.071 | $1.42 |
| 04-07 19:06 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.086 | $1.72 |
| 04-07 19:06 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.114 | $2.28 |
| 04-07 19:06 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.135 | $2.70 |
| 04-07 19:05 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 04-07 19:04 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.062 | $1.12 |