PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

hoshigaki.kisame

0x277a9f0613deb53aa2aaaa2821184466566f6345

Realised P&L
$160.25
Volume
$7.9k
Markets traded
100
Open portfolio
$434.07

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded100
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4390.840$92.40+$44.10
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.4090.747$74.65+$33.70
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3000.531$42.52+$18.52
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.5240.385$42.35$15.25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1930.188$28.13$0.77
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1450.148$22.27+$0.52
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.1070.193$21.61+$9.62
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1410.135$20.18$1.02
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1000.213$17.08+$9.08
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0820.086$12.82+$0.57
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.1340.099$11.21$3.92
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? · Yes0.1050.090$9.50$1.50
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0530.054$8.10+$0.15
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1200.089$7.16$2.44
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1090.060$6.60$5.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 12:06Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.157$1.10
07-17 12:05Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.18$1.48
07-17 12:05Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.43$2.15
05-27 21:01Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?BUY0.334$10.02
05-07 19:47Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?SELL0.42$21.00
05-06 20:32Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?SELL0.04$1.30
05-06 20:14Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?SELL0.1114089347$1.95
04-07 19:08Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.034$1.02
04-07 19:06Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.055$1.10
04-07 19:06Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.071$1.42
04-07 19:06Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.086$1.72
04-07 19:06Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.114$2.28
04-07 19:06Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.135$2.70
04-07 19:05Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.16$3.20
04-07 19:04Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.062$1.12