PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sdsfsdf

0x26e6626944d44dee9de608ce8ab12d91dcd6edfb

Realised P&L
$-16.37
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$149.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.981$33.93+$0.64
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8890.972$17.49+$1.48
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat? · Yes0.9330.958$16.28+$0.41
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.165$13.20$14.80
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? · No0.5000.932$11.18+$5.18
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.8210.983$9.82+$1.61
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.5800.935$9.35+$3.55
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9180.958$8.81+$0.36
Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.9401.000$8.50+$0.51
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat? · Yes0.9300.975$8.28+$0.38
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9200.971$5.82+$0.30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7840.779$4.68$0.03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.2600.140$1.40$1.20
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.4800.895$0.90+$0.41
Will Chris Gober be the Republican Nominee for TX-10? · No0.5000.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-18 07:15Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?BUY0.25$2.50
03-03 08:23Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?BUY0.76$38.76
03-03 05:36Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.784$4.70
03-03 05:359.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.92$5.52
03-03 02:41Will France strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.842$6.24
03-03 02:37Will Leonardo DiCaprio attend the Oscars?BUY0.983$7.36
03-03 02:34Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY0.936$7.49
03-03 02:33Will Timothée Chalamet attend the Oscars?BUY0.994$7.95
03-03 01:44US strike on Colombia by March 31?BUY0.969$8.24
03-03 01:43Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?BUY0.932$7.92
03-03 01:41Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?BUY0.86$7.31
03-03 01:39Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?BUY0.85$6.80
03-03 01:35U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?BUY0.93$7.44
03-03 01:22Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.928$7.89
03-03 01:19Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?BUY0.95$8.07