PolyBot

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Traders

2020xb

0x263a877bfcb7b386fd51c9964c77b3ca785df5aa

Realised P&L
$70.64
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 00:59Spain snap election called by October 31?BUY0.5699999967$50.00
10-02 08:12Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?SELL0.86$1.75
10-02 08:12Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?SELL0.86$0.87
10-02 08:12Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?SELL0.86$1.20
10-02 03:36Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?SELL0.86$0.58
10-01 19:51Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?BUY0.5$50.00
10-01 17:23US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.6699999971$50.00
10-01 16:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.72$249.98
10-01 15:44US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.6599999979$50.00
10-01 15:40Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.7199999997$250.00
10-01 01:16Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6899999916$50.00
10-01 01:16Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.6799999978$50.00
10-01 01:02Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?SELL0.86$0.50
09-30 20:22Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.4769311999$50.00
09-30 19:22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.6537695713$50.00