2020xb
0x263a877bfcb7b386fd51c9964c77b3ca785df5aa
- Realised P&L
- $70.64
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.52at 0.142Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$24.00at 0.808Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long?
- +$9.80at 0.420Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
- +$6.14at 0.623Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
- +$2.45at 0.780Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 00:59 | Spain snap election called by October 31? | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 08:12 | Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.75 |
| 10-02 08:12 | Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany? | SELL | 0.86 | $0.87 |
| 10-02 08:12 | Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.20 |
| 10-02 03:36 | Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany? | SELL | 0.86 | $0.58 |
| 10-01 19:51 | Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 17:23 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 16:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.72 | $249.98 |
| 10-01 15:44 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 15:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7199999997 | $250.00 |
| 10-01 01:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6899999916 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 01:16 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.6799999978 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 01:02 | Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany? | SELL | 0.86 | $0.50 |
| 09-30 20:22 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.4769311999 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 19:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6537695713 | $50.00 |